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Monday, March 17, 2014
what follows cold winters for production?
We are still looking at snow and frozen soils. There is a lot of field work waiting for the thaw, so how will this impact our yields?
The winter of 2013 -2014 is the 4th coldest on record. Proceeded my the winters of 1976-77, 1977-78, and 1978-79 (1935 also, 5 listed because 76-77 and this year are tied).
Comparing the winters of the 70's here is a list of yields form the following crop years comparing those to yield trends.
Crop year Average yield/acre
1973-74 91.3
1974-75 71.9
1975-76 86.4
1976-77 88
1977-78 90.8
1978-79 101.0
1979-80 109.5
1980-81 91
1981-82 108.9
years following cold winters This looks like there is actually a yield increase after a cold winter.
Several factors may be able to explain this. #1 cool summers usually follow cold winters (favorable pollination) #2 cold winters reduce insect overwintering #3 cold winters reduce plant disease overwintering.
Serving together, Dean
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